The Era of Uncertainty

The Era of Uncertainty

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  • Author: Francois Trahan
  • Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
  • ISBN: 1118134095
  • Category : Business & Economics
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 228

Macroeconomic Investment Strategies for an Era of Economic Uncertainty “Over the years, François’ insightful analyses of the business cycle has led to market calls that have both benefitted investors on the upside and (more important to many) protected them from losses on the downside. François’ incredible track record in successfully interpreting the trends that can be found in leading indicators and other macroeconomic data have also led to his well deserved reputation as an expert in sector rotation - providing investors on both the long and short side of the market opportunities to profit from his ideas. In my opinion, his most important and influential macro prediction to date was his call in the middle of the last decade when he predicted that the worst housing crisis in American history would soon be upon us, and that it would have far-ranging implications for both the global economy and world financial markets.”


The Politics of Uncertainty

The Politics of Uncertainty

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  • Author: Ian Scoones
  • Publisher: Routledge
  • ISBN: 1000163407
  • Category : Business & Economics
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 280

Why is uncertainty so important to politics today? To explore the underlying reasons, issues and challenges, this book’s chapters address finance and banking, insurance, technology regulation and critical infrastructures, as well as climate change, infectious disease responses, natural disasters, migration, crime and security and spirituality and religion. The book argues that uncertainties must be understood as complex constructions of knowledge, materiality, experience, embodiment and practice. Examining in particular how uncertainties are experienced in contexts of marginalisation and precarity, this book shows how sustainability and development are not just technical issues, but depend deeply on political values and choices. What burgeoning uncertainties require lies less in escalating efforts at control, but more in a new – more collective, mutualistic and convivial – politics of responsibility and care. If hopes of much-needed progressive transformation are to be realised, then currently blinkered understandings of uncertainty need to be met with renewed democratic struggle. Written in an accessible style and illustrated by multiple case studies from across the world, this book will appeal to a wide cross-disciplinary audience in fields ranging from economics to law to science studies to sociology to anthropology and geography, as well as professionals working in risk management, disaster risk reduction, emergencies and wider public policy fields.


Uncertainty

Uncertainty

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  • Author: Millett Granger Morgan
  • Publisher: Cambridge University Press
  • ISBN: 113993581X
  • Category : Psychology
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 376

The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty.


The Commons in an Age of Uncertainty

The Commons in an Age of Uncertainty

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  • Author: Franklin Obeng-Odoom
  • Publisher: University of Toronto Press
  • ISBN: 1487537611
  • Category : Business & Economics
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 355

In the last two hundred years, the earth has increasingly become the private property of a few classes, races, transnational corporations, and nations. Repeated claims about the "tragedy of the commons" and the "crisis of capitalism" have done little to explain this concentration of land, encourage solution-building to solve resource depletion, or address our current socio-ecological crisis. The Commons in an Age of Uncertainty presents a new explanation, vision, and action plan based on the idea of commoning the land. The book argues that by commoning the land, rather than privatising it, we can develop the foundation for prosperity without destructive growth and address both local and global challenges. Making the land the most fundamental priority of all commons does not only give hope, it also opens the doors to a new world in which economy, environment, and society are decolonised and liberated.


Mobilizing in Uncertainty

Mobilizing in Uncertainty

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  • Author: Anastasia Shesterinina
  • Publisher: Cornell University Press
  • ISBN: 1501753770
  • Category : History
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 166

How do ordinary people navigate the intense uncertainty of the onset of war? Different individuals mobilize in different ways—some flee, some pick up arms, and some support armed actors as civil war begins. Drawing on nearly two hundred in-depth interviews with participants and nonparticipants in the Georgian-Abkhaz war of 1992–1993, Anastasia Shesterinina explores Abkhaz mobilization decisions during that conflict. Her fresh approach underscores the uncertain nature of the first days of the war when Georgian forces had a preponderance of manpower and arms. Mobilizing in Uncertainty demonstrates, in contrast to explanations that assume individuals know the risk involved in mobilization and make decisions based on that knowledge, that the Abkhaz anticipated risk in ways that were affected by their earlier experiences and by social networks at the time of mobilization. What Shesterinina uncovers is that to make sense of the violence, Abkhaz leaders, local authority figures, and others relied on shared understandings of the conflict and their roles in it—collective conflict identities—that they had developed before the war. As appeals traveled across society, people consolidated mobilization decisions within small groups of family and friends and based their actions on whom they understood to be threatened. Their decisions shaped how the Georgian-Abkhaz conflict unfolded and how people continued to mobilize during and after the war. Through this detailed analysis of Abkhaz mobilization from prewar to postwar, Mobilizing in Uncertainty sheds light on broader processes of violence, which have lasting effects on societies marked by intergroup conflict.


Reimagining Industry Growth

Reimagining Industry Growth

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  • Author: Daniel A. Varroney
  • Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
  • ISBN: 1119855934
  • Category : Business & Economics
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 261

Tap into the potential of strategic partnerships with industry associations in this groundbreaking new book Reimagining Industry Growth offers readers a blueprint to harnessing the power of leading industry associations as strategic partners. By utilizing those partnerships, business leaders will become able to leverage the collective strength of the supply chain to overcome challenges, address uncertainty, mitigate risks, and position their industries for growth. The book provides an overview of strategic partnerships, how they work, and how they can be applied to industry relationships with trade associations. It includes: Illuminating and factual case studies outlining strategic partnerships in five different industry segments Roadmaps for executives to apply the lessons learned from industry success stories on leveraging relationships with trade associations Advice on how to move the needle for entire industries via effective strategic partnerships and achieve unprecedented growth Ideal for executives, managers, business leaders of all kinds, business students and professors, and association executives. Reimagining Industry Growth is required reading for anyone who hopes to tap into the potential strength and value of effective strategic partnerships.


Fear and Uncertainty in Europe

Fear and Uncertainty in Europe

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  • Author: Roberto Belloni
  • Publisher: Springer
  • ISBN: 3319919652
  • Category : Political Science
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 296

Russia’s intervention in the Ukraine, Donald Trump’s presidency and instability in the Middle East are just a few of the factors that have brought an end to the immediate post-Cold War belief that a new international order was emerging: one where fear and uncertainty gave way to a thick normative and institutional architecture that diminished the importance of material power. This has raised questions about the instruments we use to understand order in Europe and in international relations. The chapters in this book aim to assess whether foreign policy actors in Europe understand the international system and behave as realists. They ask what drives their behaviour, how they construct material capabilities and to what extent they see material power as the means to ensure survival. They contribute to a critical assessment of realism as a way to understand both Europe’s current predicament and the contemporary international system.


Looking Forward

Looking Forward

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  • Author: Jamie L. Pietruska
  • Publisher: University of Chicago Press
  • ISBN: 022647500X
  • Category : Business & Economics
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 295

Introduction: crisis of certainty -- Cotton guesses -- The daily "probabilities"--Weather prophecies -- Economies of the future -- Promises of love and money -- Epilogue: specters of uncertainty


Ignorance and Uncertainty

Ignorance and Uncertainty

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  • Author: Olivier Compte
  • Publisher: Cambridge University Press
  • ISBN: 1108422020
  • Category : Business & Economics
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 303

Proposes novel methods to incorporate ignorance and uncertainty into economic modeling without complex mathematics.


The Uncertainty of Everyday Life, 1915-1945

The Uncertainty of Everyday Life, 1915-1945

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  • Author: Harvey Green
  • Publisher: University of Arkansas Press
  • ISBN: 9781557285980
  • Category : History
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 300

The era between the world wars, from the "roaring 20s" to the grim days of the Great Depression, was a time of tremendous change. The United States became an increasingly urban culture as people left their farms to seek work in the cities. Many blacks moved North to escape the violence and racism of a resurgent Ku Klux Klan in the South. And, while life became more comfortable for many Americans during this period, by 1941 only half the population enjoyed the modern conveniences we now take for granted. With improvements in technology and the rise of consumerism (spurred by the new "science" of advertising) the country was expanding in every direction. However, for many Americans, daily life was fraught with uncertainty. Jobs and wages were unpredictable, labor unrest was constant, and savings vanished in the stock market. In this vividly detailed narrative, Harvey Green recounts an era of unprecedented change in American culture and examines the impact of these uncertain times on such aspects of daily life as employment, home life, gender roles, education, religion, and recreation.