Assessing Assertions of Assertiveness

Assessing Assertions of Assertiveness

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  • Author: Stephan De Spiegeleire
  • Publisher: The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
  • ISBN: 9491040960
  • Category :
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 67

This study points to worrying trends in how far two great power contenders, Russia and China, have been willing to go to assert themselves in the international arena. It concludes that increased willingness to resort to brinkmanship has heightened the danger of a ‘Cuban Missile Crisis’-type event that could spiral into uncontrollable escalation.


Great Power Assertivitis

Great Power Assertivitis

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  • Author: Stephan De Spiegeleire
  • Publisher: The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
  • ISBN: 9492102358
  • Category :
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 86


From Assertiveness to Aggression

From Assertiveness to Aggression

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  • Author: Stephan de Spiegeleire
  • Publisher: The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
  • ISBN: 949210217X
  • Category :
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 58

2014 was a watershed year for the Russian Federation. In HCSS’ contribution to the Strategic Monitor last year, we documented Russia’s relatively high and growing (also comparatively speaking) levels of international assertiveness.6 This year, that assertiveness morphed into naked aggression. Russia became the first European country since the end of World War II to forcefully expand its own territory by unceremoniously annexing 20,000 km2 that legitimately belonged to another European country – with the broad support (and even enthusiasm) of the overwhelming majority of its population. In 2014, the ‘entente’ between Russia and the West, which had never been truly cordial in the first place, was shattered. For The Netherlands, a country with long and deep ties with Russia and one that had made extraordinary efforts to commit itself to Russia’s transformation, 2014 was the year when Russia’s assertiveness ‘struck home’, as almost 200 Dutch citizens became the victims of the downing of MH17.


Assertion Training

Assertion Training

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  • Author: Colleen Kelley
  • Publisher: Pfeiffer
  • ISBN:
  • Category : Psychology
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 400


Back to the brink

Back to the brink

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  • Author: Tim Sweijs
  • Publisher: The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
  • ISBN: 9492102331
  • Category :
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 69


Volatility and friction in the age of disintermediation

Volatility and friction in the age of disintermediation

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  • Author: Tim Sweijs
  • Publisher: The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
  • ISBN: 9492102463
  • Category :
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 256

Events unfolded once again at a swirling pace in 2016. Terrorists hit Europe’s capital in March. The British population voted for Brexit in June. Turkish armed forces failed to topple Erdoğan in July. A resurgent Russia flexed its military muscles again in the Middle East and actively interfered in American elections, in which the American population elected Trump, in November. We are worried but certainly not surprised by the volatility of contemporary international relations. In previous editions of our contribution to the Dutch government’s Strategic Monitor, we already observed a surge in assertive behavior, noted a dangerous uptick in crises, and warned for the contagiousness of political violence. The current volatility is not a coincidence, but rather the result of fundamental disturbances of the global order that are greatly amplified by rapid technological developments. Most mainstream explanations of recent turbulence focus on power transitions (the decline of the West and the rise of the rest), the concomitant return to more aggressive forms of power politics, and a backlash against globalization. What strikes us is that many of the explanations ignore what we consider one of the most striking mega trends that is reshaping the dynamics of power: the ongoing process of disintermediation. The StratMon 2016-2017 analyzes global trends in confrontation, cooperation and conflict based on different datasets. This year the report also contains case studies on Turkey, Moldova and The rise and fall of ISIS. Chapters analyzing the many faces of political violence and 'the other side of the security coin' are also included.


Better Together

Better Together

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  • Author: Sijbren de Jong
  • Publisher: The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
  • ISBN: 949210234X
  • Category :
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 155


Nowcasting Geodynamics

Nowcasting Geodynamics

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  • Author: Stephan De Spiegeleire
  • Publisher: The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
  • ISBN: 949210248X
  • Category :
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 58

HCSS’ original term “nowcasting” – as opposed to forecasting – describes the process of monitoring, depicting, and analyzing ongoing developments in international relations as they occur. Once again, our study “Nowcasting Geodynamics” uses a rich base of quantitative data to move beyond the anecdotal, and towards the systematic. We intend our empirical approach to add to debates across all domains – diplomatic, economics, legal, military, etc. – and across all countries, whether they are great powers such as the United States or China, or smaller but strategically important states, such as Indonesia, and Egypt. This year’s analysis covers the geodynamic trends of countries across the world and traverses the different domains in order to give perspectives on the “now” trends, and where they might lead us in the future. This study is part of the 2016-2017 HCSS StratMon.


The wheel of fortune

The wheel of fortune

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  • Author: Stephan de Spiegeleire
  • Publisher: The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
  • ISBN: 9492102366
  • Category :
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 220

National security starts with strategic anticipation: what are the risks for the Dutch national security? How can the Netherlands prepare for this, and what choices and investments are needed in order to do so?


Assert Yourself!

Assert Yourself!

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  • Author: Merna Dee Galassi
  • Publisher:
  • ISBN:
  • Category : Psychology
  • Languages : en
  • Pages : 264

An assertion training program comprised of discussions of and exercises in all forms of self-expression.